To run prediction-market arb in United States, use PredictionHunt to find prediction-market opportunitys. Open Kalshi as your never-limited safe betting platform. Prediction markets are your only never-ban venue. Lean on promos, +EV and PM; place arbs manually in small round stakes. The full workflow, tool list and realistic returns are below — download the complete guide as a free PDF.

Your Edge Setup

Prediction-Market Arb in United States Edge Betting Tools

Locked market — regulated books + prediction markets

1 · Your betting platforms
Prediction markets never bans
Kalshi
Geofenced states
Polymarket
Most states
2 · Your edge tools
PredictionHunt From $0 (free tier)
Aggregator + API for prediction markets; compare Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt.
3 · Your workflow
  1. Open your edge tool(s) above and one never-ban venue (exchange).
  2. Run the tool to surface live edges for this method.
  3. Place the value side on the soft book, hedge the safe side on the broker/exchange.
  4. Log every bet and track Closing Line Value (CLV) — your only proof of edge.
4 · Use it safely

Prediction markets are your only never-ban venue. Lean on promos, +EV and PM; place arbs manually in small round stakes.

  • No exchange or broker in the US — programmatic arbitrage is limited.
  • For arbs, use ProfitDuel’s free version to place manually with direct bookmaker links.
5 · What to expect
Bankroll tier:
Prediction-Market Arb ~2–10% per opp, capital locked · infrequent

Approximate ranges, not guarantees. Advantage play carries variance and accounts get limited. Set bankroll limits and bet responsibly.

All setups

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Prediction-Market Arb legal in United States?

Locked market — regulated books + prediction markets. Always verify your local jurisdiction. The betting platforms listed are for personal use; professional winnings may be taxable in your country.

Which tool is best for prediction-market arb in United States?

PredictionHunt is the top recommended tool. Best for prediction-market arb + comparison. It offers a free tier so you can test before committing.

Will I get my account limited doing prediction-market arb in United States?

Prediction markets are your only never-ban venue. Lean on promos, +EV and PM; place arbs manually in small round stakes. Always use exchanges, brokers or prediction markets as your safe leg — they never limit winners. Soft books (DraftKings, bet365, etc.) will restrict sharp bettors over time.

How much money do I need to start prediction-market arb in United States?

The Starter tier works with under $500 bankroll and free-tier tools. Growth ($500–2k) unlocks higher volume. Most edge methods are profitable at any stake size when executed correctly with a verified scanner.